Elon
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 82.9439Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 12-10 214 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 11- 5 221 A East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9-12 227 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13-17 305 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 15- 7 310 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 5-16 314 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 6- 7 320 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 9- 8 323 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 13-17 328 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 9-10 331 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 13- 8 404 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 9- 4 410 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 11-10 412 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 6-19 419 A Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 7-16 424 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 4-15 430 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 6-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Queens 12-10 2 5 - -2.85
214 H Old Dominion 11- 5 6 8 - -2.15
221 A East Carolina 9-12 -3 -2 -1.04
227 A Virginia Tech 13-17 -4 -6 1.55
305 H High Point 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.61
310 H Notre Dame 5-16 -11 -9 -1.93
314 A Hofstra 6- 7 -1 -3 1.98
320 H Monmouth (NJ) 9- 8 1 5 - -3.52
323 H Duke 13-17 -4 -7 + 2.65
328 A Drexel 9-10 -1 -2 0.67
331 A VCU 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 6.63
404 H William & Mary 9- 4 5 4 0.57
410 A Campbell 11-10 1 0 1.16
412 H Stanford 6-19 -13 -12 -1.39
419 A Towson 7-16 -9 -3 --- -6.47
424 H Stony Brook 4-15 -11 -9 -1.60
430 A Stony Brook 6-18 -12 -12 0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Towson 7-16 -9 -3 --- -6.47 211 A Queens 12-10 2 5 - -2.85 214 H Old Dominion 11- 5 6 8 - -2.15 320 H Monmouth (NJ) 9- 8 1 5 - -3.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A VCU 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 6.63 305 H High Point 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.61 323 H Duke 13-17 -4 -7 + 2.65 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 12-10 -23.17 17.00 1.37 1.02 37.43
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 11- 5 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.02 30.70
3 A East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9-12 -16.36 23.80 1.37 1.02 -7.64
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13-17 -12.77 27.39 1.37 1.02 -5.81
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 15- 7 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 1.02 42.43
3 H Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 5-16 -6.52 33.65 -1.37 1.02 -4.02
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 6- 7 -15.34 24.83 1.37 1.02 -7.12
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 9- 8 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 1.02 38.10
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 13-17 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 1.02 -5.25
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 9-10 -16.65 23.52 1.37 1.02 -7.79
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 13- 8 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.02 50.62
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 9- 4 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 1.02 38.28
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 11-10 -18.17 22.00 1.37 1.02 47.63
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 6-19 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.02 -2.73
3 A Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 7-16 -15.80 24.37 1.37 1.02 -7.35
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 4-15 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.02 -3.85
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 6-18 -6.19 33.98 1.37 1.02 -2.46
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231.18
|
winning pts = 285.1920 losing points = -54.0149
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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